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ECB's Villeroy: Inflation risk from trade tensions seems weak

European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Francois Villeroy de Galhau said on Friday that the inflation risk from trade tensions seems weak and could even be downward, per Reuters.

Commenting on US President Donald Trump's criticism of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell, "Fed's Powell is doing his job very well because he is telling the truth as it is," Villeroy said and added that Trump is wrong for criticizing Powell for cutting rates too slowly.

Market reaction

EUR/USD showed no immediate reaction to these comments and was last seen trading marginally higher on the day at 1.1375.

ECB FAQs

The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy for the region. The ECB primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means keeping inflation at around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is by raising or lowering interest rates. Relatively high interest rates will usually result in a stronger Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

In extreme situations, the European Central Bank can enact a policy tool called Quantitative Easing. QE is the process by which the ECB prints Euros and uses them to buy assets – usually government or corporate bonds – from banks and other financial institutions. QE usually results in a weaker Euro. QE is a last resort when simply lowering interest rates is unlikely to achieve the objective of price stability. The ECB used it during the Great Financial Crisis in 2009-11, in 2015 when inflation remained stubbornly low, as well as during the covid pandemic.

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse of QE. It is undertaken after QE when an economic recovery is underway and inflation starts rising. Whilst in QE the European Central Bank (ECB) purchases government and corporate bonds from financial institutions to provide them with liquidity, in QT the ECB stops buying more bonds, and stops reinvesting the principal maturing on the bonds it already holds. It is usually positive (or bullish) for the Euro.

AUD/JPY trades below 91.00 as Japan’s core inflation rises in March

AUD/JPY retraces its recent gains from the previous session, trading around 90.80 during the European hours on Friday. The currency cross remains under pressure as the Australian Dollar (AUD) weakens in light trading, with local markets closed for the Good Friday holiday.
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Italy Global Trade Balance came in at €4.466B, above forecasts (€3.31B) in February

Italy Global Trade Balance came in at €4.466B, above forecasts (€3.31B) in February
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