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26 Jan 2015
FOMC Preview: Disinflation looking more severe - Rabobank
FXStreet (Guatemala) - Analysts at Rabobank noted that the inflation data released since the previous FOMC meeting suggest that disinflation is more rapid and severe than anticipated by the Committee.
Key Quotes:
"The next update of the FOMC projections is scheduled for March, and a repetition of the phrase ‘The Committee continues to monitor inflation developments closely’ in the FOMC statement should buy them some time, but the Fed’s credibility on the price stability side of its dual mandate is slowly eroding."
"Meanwhile, we are likely to see a repetition of the ‘patience’ phrase in the forward guidance on the first rate hike and the overdue removal of ‘considerable time’."
"The combination of stronger-than-projected disinflation, wage deceleration and plunging market inflation expectations is testing the confidence of various FOMC participants. In our view, this will lead to a delay in the first rate hike from mid-2015 to 2015Q4."
Key Quotes:
"The next update of the FOMC projections is scheduled for March, and a repetition of the phrase ‘The Committee continues to monitor inflation developments closely’ in the FOMC statement should buy them some time, but the Fed’s credibility on the price stability side of its dual mandate is slowly eroding."
"Meanwhile, we are likely to see a repetition of the ‘patience’ phrase in the forward guidance on the first rate hike and the overdue removal of ‘considerable time’."
"The combination of stronger-than-projected disinflation, wage deceleration and plunging market inflation expectations is testing the confidence of various FOMC participants. In our view, this will lead to a delay in the first rate hike from mid-2015 to 2015Q4."